Senin, 26 Juli 2010

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Statistical Methods for Forecasting, by Bovas Abraham, Johannes Ledolter

The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation. With these new unabridged softcover volumes, Wiley hopes to extend the lives of these works by making them available to future generations of statisticians, mathematicians, and scientists.

"This book, it must be said, lives up to the words on its advertising cover: 'Bridging the gap between introductory, descriptive approaches and highly advanced theoretical treatises, it provides a practical, intermediate level discussion of a variety of forecasting tools, and explains how they relate to one another, both in theory and practice.' It does just that!"
-Journal of the Royal Statistical Society

"A well-written work that deals with statistical methods and models that can be used to produce short-term forecasts, this book has wide-ranging applications. It could be used in the context of a study of regression, forecasting, and time series analysis by PhD students; or to support a concentration in quantitative methods for MBA students; or as a work in applied statistics for advanced undergraduates."
-Choice

Statistical Methods for Forecasting is a comprehensive, readable treatment of statistical methods and models used to produce short-term forecasts. The interconnections between the forecasting models and methods are thoroughly explained, and the gap between theory and practice is successfully bridged. Special topics are discussed, such as transfer function modeling; Kalman filtering; state space models; Bayesian forecasting; and methods for forecast evaluation, comparison, and control. The book provides time series, autocorrelation, and partial autocorrelation plots, as well as examples and exercises using real data. Statistical Methods for Forecasting serves as an outstanding textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate courses in statistics, business, engineering, and the social sciences, as well as a working reference for professionals in business, industry, and government.

  • Sales Rank: #822064 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-08-12
  • Released on: 2005-09-14
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.04" h x 1.12" w x 6.14" l, 1.21 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 472 pages

From the Publisher
Presents the statistical methods and models used in the production of short-term forecasts. Deals with special topics such as transfer function analysis, Kalman filtering, state space models, Bayesian forecasting, and forecast evaluation. Explains their interconnections, and bridges the gap between theory and practice. Provides time series, autocorrelation, and partial autocorrelation plots. Includes examples and exercises using real data.

From the Inside Flap
Statistical Methods for Forecasting is a comprehensive, readable treatment of statistical models and methods used to produce short-term forecasts. Bridging the gap between introductory, descriptive approaches and highly advanced theoretical treatises, it provides a practical intermediate-level discussion of a venery of forecasting tools, and explains how they relate to one another both in theory and practice. While the emphasis is on the familiar regression models, and exponential smoothing and parametric time series models for nonseasonal and seasonal data, the text also treats a number of special topics such as transfer function analysis, Kalman filtering, state space models, Bayesian forecasting, seasonal adjustment and forecast evaluation. A unique feature of the presentation is the interrelation of forecasts from exponential smoothing and forecasts from ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) time series models. This discussion shows which ARIMA models imply the various exponential smoothing forecast procedures as special cases. The text also adopts a model-based approach to forecasting, one which uses available data to construct appropriate models. Statistical Methods for Forecasting serves as an outstanding textbook for graduate and advanced undergraduate courses in forecasting for students of statistics, mathematics, business, engineering, and the social sciences, as well as a basic working reference for professional forecasters in business, industry, and government. It includes a large number of examples and exercises (using real data) and provides numerous time series, autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation plots as illustrations.

From the Back Cover
The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation. With these new unabridged softcover volumes, Wiley hopes to extend the lives of these works by making them available to future generations of statisticians, mathematicians, and scientists.

"This book, it must be said, lives up to the words on its advertising cover: 'Bridging the gap between introductory, descriptive approaches and highly advanced theoretical treatises, it provides a practical, intermediate level discussion of a variety of forecasting tools, and explains how they relate to one another, both in theory and practice.' It does just that!"
—Journal of the Royal Statistical Society

"A well-written work that deals with statistical methods and models that can be used to produce short-term forecasts, this book has wide-ranging applications. It could be used in the context of a study of regression, forecasting, and time series analysis by PhD students; or to support a concentration in quantitative methods for MBA students; or as a work in applied statistics for advanced undergraduates."
—Choice

Statistical Methods for Forecasting is a comprehensive, readable treatment of statistical methods and models used to produce short-term forecasts. The interconnections between the forecasting models and methods are thoroughly explained, and the gap between theory and practice is successfully bridged. Special topics are discussed, such as transfer function modeling; Kalman filtering; state space models; Bayesian forecasting; and methods for forecast evaluation, comparison, and control. The book provides time series, autocorrelation, and partial autocorrelation plots, as well as examples and exercises using real data. Statistical Methods for Forecasting serves as an outstanding textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate courses in statistics, business, engineering, and the social sciences, as well as a working reference for professionals in business, industry, and government.

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Kamis, 22 Juli 2010

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  • Published on: 1600
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Senin, 12 Juli 2010

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ICSSR Research Surveys and Explorations: Political Science, Box Set, Volumes 1-4, by Achin Vanaik

The four volumes of research surveys and explorations in political science conducted by the Indian Council of Social Science Research (ICSSR) not only provide a summary evaluation of the state of the research and valuable bibliographic guide but also highlight research trends and possible lines of future enquiry. Volume 1, while referring to studies before and after the period 2003-9, focuses more specifically on the literature of this period by analysing four key themes-the social character of the Indian state, political economy, social policy, and law and rights. Volume 2 examines key issues confronting Indian democracy and provides an analytical overview of the changing perceptions of it over the past two decades. It explores literature on the Constitution of India and its institutions, the party system, elections, civil society initiatives, and federalism in India. Volume 3 critically reviews research done on ancient, medieval, and modern Indian political thought. It uses a multidisciplinary approach to explore research on themes such as politics of time and knowledge, ethics and politics, nationalism, and cosmopolitanism. Volume 4 focuses on the transformations occurring in the research, practice, and theories of international relations in India. Acknowledging the broadening scope of the discipline, it looks at traditional as well as new issues such as global governance, international law and norms, development and civil society. It also examines a wide range of theoretical approaches such as realism, critical theory, neo-Marxism, postcolonialism, development theory, and liberalism.

  • Sales Rank: #10689830 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-10-25
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 2.10" h x 4.70" w x 9.20" l, 5.13 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 1488 pages

About the Author

Achin Vanaik, Former Professor of International Relations, Department of Political Science, University of Delhi

Achin Vanaik is former Professor of International Relations, Department of Political Science, University of Delhi.

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A collectible item for scholars of Indian political systems
By Dr Anup K Das
This set contains four volumes of collection of essays, edited by Dr. Achin Vanaik. This series is brought out to pay tribute to the Indian Council of Social Science Research (ICSSR), on completion of its 45 years supporting empirical research. Some of the chapters reflect research results from the ICSSR-sponsored research projects. This is collectible item for scholars of Indian political systems.

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Kamis, 08 Juli 2010

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  • Sales Rank: #13110544 in Books
  • Published on: 2008-07-23
  • Binding: Unknown Binding

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Alter Bridge - One Day Remains (Guitar Recorded Versions), by Alter Bridge

(Guitar Recorded Versions). This new hard rock/metal band features former members of Creed and Mayfield Four. Our matching folio to their debut album includes 11 songs: Find the Real * One Day Remains * Open Your Eyes * Burn It Down * Metalingus * Broken Wings * In Loving Memory * Down to My Last * Watch Your Words * Shed My Skin * The End Is Here.

  • Sales Rank: #1357179 in Books
  • Published on: 2005-01-01
  • Released on: 2005-01-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 12.00" h x .30" w x 9.00" l, .86 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 112 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

23 of 23 people found the following review helpful.
dead-on tabs for Alter Bridge's first album
By Lucas E. Shelton
I've been playing guitar for 17 years, and I usually hate tab books. Why? Well, they're usually very innacurate. Not this one, though. I picked up Alter Bridge's debut CD, 'One Day Remains' back in the Fall of 2004. Creed was good, but I couldn't really stand the singer's attitude and stage presence...or his overdramatic vocals, for that matter. Needless to say, I was completely blown away by Alter Bridge. I was thoroughly impressed with Mark Tremonti's guitar work, and I added this CD to my growing list of "CD's that are go great I have to learn every song".

This book contains all the goods. All of the classic riffs are there, and the solos are tabbed out flawlessly. Mark Tremonti and Troy Stetina (Tremonti's guitar guru) worked through the songs and the book wasn't shipped until every song was signed-off by them. Get it! You won't regret it!

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Great, accurate book for advanced guitar players
By Maques
From what I've seen, this book provides provides flawless information. The solo on the track "Open Your Eyes" could probably be played in a simpler fashion than the book describes, but book is otherwise flawless.

I would definitely not recommend this book for beginner guitar players or even moderately-skilled ones. Alter Bridge guitarist Mark Tremonti is a very skilled guitarist and composes much more difficult songs than he did one the first three Creed albums. Moderately-skilled guitarists should have little problem on the track "Broken Wings" as it is probably the simplest song in the book.

For those with the ability to play Alter Bridge songs, this book is perfect for you and should be fun as well as challenging.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Too bad it sucks...
By Randy C. Horne
My playing, that is. This book is phenomenal. I first heard of Alter Bridge while scrolling through Youtube. Their album Fortress came up and I decided to give it a listen and I was hooked immediately. I fell in love with them. I was floundering in my guitar playing at the time, and I ended up getting this as a Christmas present. I was immediately overwhelmed (but in the good way, you know). I started learning some of the songs and realized they were way harder than anything I'd even attempted to play up until that point (Curse you Mark Tremonti for being so brilliant!). I've been slowly carving away at these songs since Christmas and I couldn't be happier with it. Definitely get it.

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Sabtu, 03 Juli 2010

[H196.Ebook] Download Moms House Dads House, by Ricci

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Moms House Dads House, by Ricci

The groundbreaking classic, now revised, updated and expanded, covers the legal, financial and emotional realities of creating two happy and stable homes for children in the often difficult and confusing aftermath of a divorce.

  • Sales Rank: #3756606 in Books
  • Published on: 1980-11-01
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 270 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

8 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
An essential guide to life after divorce
By A Customer
This book is THE seminal work, a handbook for getting along and raising sane children in the wake of a divorce. Dr. Ricci explains, in plain language, the root causes of post-divorce strife. The author then continues to point out the specific techniques parents can use to establish a working, cooperative relationship with each other. A MUST READ for any divorced parent!
--Brent Wellman, F.R.E.E.

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Jumat, 02 Juli 2010

[T194.Ebook] Download PDF Applied Descriptive Geometry, by Kathryn Ann Holliday-Darr

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Applied Descriptive Geometry, by Kathryn Ann Holliday-Darr

Excellent for engineering and technology students, this text goes far beyond instruction in standard orthographic projection to clarify all the tools of descriptive geometry and how they apply to individual fields. The text places special emphasis on applications in all the various engineering disciplines: mechanical, plastics, industrial, piping, aerospace, marine, civil, and structural. As a result, students quickly grasp the value of descriptive geometry as they apply the tools and techniques to practical problems. By organizing information around the field's central concept line of sight, the presentation facilitates understanding in a way unmatched by any other text. The worktext format provides students with all the resources they need text and workbook under one cover.

  • Sales Rank: #784884 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Cengage Learning
  • Published on: 1998-03-06
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 11.00" h x 8.75" w x .75" l, 2.29 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 494 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review
Orthographic Projection & Descriptive Geometry. Points & Lines in Space. Auxiliary Views. Lines. Line Characteristics. Planes. Plane Relationships. Piercing Points & the Intersections of Planes. Revolution. Developments. Mining & Civil Engineering Applications.

About the Author
Kathryn Holliday-Darr is an Instructor of Engineering Graphics in the School of Engineering and Engineering Technology at Penn State University at Erie, The Behrend College

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Amazon Customer
Great

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
One of the Best Ever Written IGNORE MISTAKEN REVIEWS
By Let's Compare Options Preptorial
Amazon's got to remove a few irrelevant reviews-- several reviews about this fine book were instead about shipping, condition, etc. which should reflect on the seller, NOT the author or content! In the first edition, one review downgraded the book for highlighting, while another gave 5 stars because a class was cancelled! Is this the twilight zone?

Descriptive Geometry is a mainstay of numerous sciences, from architecture to physics and of course 3D gaming. The pedagogy in this book is some of the best in ANY text-- with an outstanding pace of explanation, illustration and math. On top of that, the book INCLUDES the complete student "workbook" guide, instead of making it a separate purchase, which as you know sometimes can't be found after a few years.

Even at the "old" price (caution, there also is a revised edition), the book is one of only a few that cover the entire field with nearly all applications as examples. However, MANY copies of both editions are available now at much lower prices, ours was under $10 and Prime eligible!

There is one thing about this text that you won't find in ANY other text, and I've reviewed hundreds, from Riemann to projective geometry and everything in between. That is the fact that this author, unexpectedly and brilliantly, creates a THEME of point of view, then carries it forward into ALL the applications of DG! This allows the student to see in an unprecedented clear way how techniques are similar and different as you change coordinate systems, problem definitions and solution methods. This shows she has a mind already oriented to the much more current "camera perspectives" than the dusty history of this field.

For a decade or so, DG was relegated to math history, art and architecture, but with the advent of gaming, 3D and many new modeling applications from physics to astronomy, projecting between 2D and 3D and vice versa has become one of the most important fields of math today. The techniques in this book are the foundation of AutoCad, their Maya program, splines and perspectives, and both physics and displays in game programming. 3D movies and TV use these techniques, as does research in new LED display technologies.

Finally, technical visualization is in its infancy, for example teaching math via animation. If you're an educator, and dedicated to keeping up with technology, you'll eventually run into projective and descriptive geometries as methods to translate your visuals to Kindle, powerpoint, etc. The tutorials of the future, whether on Kindle or YouTube, will have to take DG and PG into account when using, for example, Canvas and HTML5 instead of Flash. Just an aside to suggest that this field is far from finished, and much broader than art and architecture.

Library Picks reviews only for the benefit of Amazon shoppers and has nothing to do with Amazon, the authors, manufacturers or publishers of the items we review. We always buy the items we review for the sake of objectivity, and although we search for gems, are not shy about trashing an item if it's a waste of time or money for Amazon shoppers. If the reviewer identifies herself, her job or her field, it is only as a point of reference to help you gauge the background and any biases.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Nice new book.
By Prowler
This book arrived in the nick of time and saved us some money in the process.

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